World Cup Qualification Odds

So there’s a website called Sports Club Stats that does the odds for making the World Cup out of the CONCACAF region.  They say that our current odds of making the WC are 95.5% while our chance of finishing number 1 is 31%.  There are some neat charts and tables but this one shows the implications of our game with Mexico tomorrow:

Wednesday, 8/12
Mexico vs USA 4:00 PM
Chance in World Cup if:
Mexico wins USA wins Draw
Mexico 66.1 30.7 42.7
El Salvador 26.6 37.4 33.3
Honduras 65.3 75.6 72.0
USA 89.3 99.4 96.7
T & T 4.1 7.5 6.1
Costa Rica 98.6 99.4 99.2

So pretty much if we beat Mexico tomorrow were in almost for sure and their odds are very bad.  If we lose they are probably going to make it, and we are still sitting pretty well but a little less certain.  If we draw our odds are pretty great as well.  So while tomorrow is very important for pride and revenge, it is not the most important game for us in terms of the WC.  But it is for Mexico…

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2 Comments

Filed under World Cup Qualifying

2 responses to “World Cup Qualification Odds

  1. GO USA

    I want USA, Honduras, and Costa Rica to qualify. Eff mexico and their crybaby team.

  2. E.P. King

    “Eff mexico and their crybaby team.”

    well said, my friend. Crybaby is the perfect description.

    What’s scary is if the US team manage to win at Azteca. I’m genuinely worried for thier safety.

    btw, really nice blog. glad i found it.

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